Running List of Maine Caucus Voting Issues

Photo from Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 3.0)

I was initially very skeptical of the case that there was some kind of shady activity or outright fraud in Maine on the basis of only a sketchy justification for postponing the Washington County caucuses so that their votes would not be counted in the presidential straw poll. I believed and still believe that had the Washington County caucuses been held on Saturday that there simply would not have been enough votes cast for Ron Paul to be able to make up the 194 delegate deficit with Mitt Romney.

However, the allegations, discrepancies and evidence keeps mounting and it is pretty clear that a case can now be made if the Maine Caucuses weren’t intentionally stolen from Ron Paul, the Maine Republican Party has a whole ton of explaining to do. And they had better start fast.

While there are details of the issues all over the internet right now, I have yet to find a list that attempts to put them all in one spot, so I have compiled such a list.

1. The Washington County caucuses were delayed in anticipation of only a few inches of snow. As the Ron Paul campaign detailed:

That’s right.  A prediction of 3-4 inches – that turned into nothing more than a dusting – was enough for a local GOP official to postpone the caucuses just so the results wouldn’t be reported tonight.

This is MAINE we’re talking about. The GIRL SCOUTS had an event today in Washington County that wasn’t cancelled!

And just the votes of Washington County would have been enough to put us over the top.

2. The Riverton Elementary School caucus delegate vote was voided. As the Washington Post reported:

Party officials announced at the end of the Riverton Elementary School caucus that there had been a discrepancy in the final tally of state delegate ballots, and that they had received 19 more ballot sheets than they had the green index cards that voters turned in when they took their ballots.

That meant that the results of Portland’s state delegate race – at least, for the time being – were void.

“It was tossed,” Carbonneau, the post office worker, said at Paul’s caucus-night party. “It was voided. The whole thing.”

3. The votes of Waterville in Kennebec County were not included in the final totals. That no results were reported from Waterville can be confirmed by looking at the complete listing of results from the Maine GOP website. Waterville has a population of almost 15,722 in the 2010 census. Only 5584 of Maine’s 1,323,188 people participated in the caucuses. However, even at that participation rate if we assume Waterville residents were equally likely to participate as the average Maine resident, there is a 1 in 5.84605159 × 1028 chance that no one from Waterville caucused. Those are odds I would be willing to take.

This thread also alleges that due in part to the failure to include Waterville, the Kennebec County totals shorted Ron Paul 19 votes and Mitt Romney only 5.

4. As the same user in the thread linked to above mentions, the total number of votes for Augusta in Kennebec County is not right. The individual listing reports 18 votes for Romney, 17 for Paul and 3 for Santorum for a total of 38 votes. However, the total is listed as 40.

5. The votes of Belfast in Waldo County were also not included in the final totals. One user on the Daily Paul who was at Belfast pointed out the missing votes.

6. Another Daily Paul user who claims to have been the caucus chair in Belfast called the state party and attempted to correct their vote totals. The way those comments are phrased, it implies that the Maine GOP recorded some vote totals for Belfast, just incorrect ones that had Romney winning when Ron Paul actually did.

If and when I hear more reports of issues, I will be updating this list. Feel free to clue me in to more links and tips in the comment section, the Facebook page or by email.

Photo from Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 3.0)
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MikeRidgway 5 pts

The Romney ship is sinking with or without a "win" for Romney in Maine.

Rickoff 5 pts

It is far more than mere coincidence that the very Maine regions where Ron Paul did best in 2008 were not counted this time around. Adding those in, which would account for more than 20% of the total votes, would very likely put Ron Paul, the people's choice, over the top. Knowing that, party leaders were willing to do whatever was necessary to derail a win by Ron Paul and ensure that Romney, the establishment choice, would be declared the winner. There was no need to report the results until ALL the votes have been counted, no matter how long that would take. This type of manipulation reeks of the worst kind of fraud - that of party leaders. Mainers must demand a complete and verified recount after ALL the votes have been cast and collected.

Brandon Christian 64 pts

Very interesting. Ron Paul was so close on votes that I couldn't believe the mainstream media story was that Romney shows he's still the candidate to beat. Very odd.

My latest conversation: Is Ron Paul winning?